Dear Mr. Roach, your timely insights, accompanied by excellent writing, I believe offers your readers a reliable perspective or opinion packed with valuable analyzes. I look forward to reading your book “Accidental Conflict..” and following your work on Substack. Thank you!!
I think its unfair to deny Trump's result on driving investment to the US and creating conditions for a stronger middle class. He often use things that people value as stakes. A good checks and balance is needed.
Globally, a zero-tariff World can only be achieved when no sizable countries try to use state intervention to gain strategic advantage over others. The EU doesn't have much levers to bring that outcome. Many still claim that imports subsidized by partner are good for consumers. In fact it is only good to an extend when the outcome doesn't change strategic competitiveness. i.e. Mario Draghi's plan to regain competitiveness make sense for Europe but an anti-tariff stance don't. China hold the key to resolve tariff not the EU.
It also makes more sense to have an European coalition of the willing to become NATO Europe's nucleus and the foundation of European security. The war happens in Europe, and there are also gas pipe sabotage, cable severing, North Korea, etc. A messy mix of NATO and EU don't seems able to actually protect European from further aggression.
I have no real criticisms of what has been said except for one. There is an acceptance in the premise that Trump is a rational actor. My premise would be that he is actually mentally/psychologically ill and driven only by impulse and no particular goal or strategic vision. If he verbalizes something he believes it. Self aggrandizement in the moment is the unconscious goal. Also power not moral vision is all he is capable of understanding. Analysis of actions is not really very helpful.
Dear Mr. Roach, your timely insights, accompanied by excellent writing, I believe offers your readers a reliable perspective or opinion packed with valuable analyzes. I look forward to reading your book “Accidental Conflict..” and following your work on Substack. Thank you!!
I think its unfair to deny Trump's result on driving investment to the US and creating conditions for a stronger middle class. He often use things that people value as stakes. A good checks and balance is needed.
Globally, a zero-tariff World can only be achieved when no sizable countries try to use state intervention to gain strategic advantage over others. The EU doesn't have much levers to bring that outcome. Many still claim that imports subsidized by partner are good for consumers. In fact it is only good to an extend when the outcome doesn't change strategic competitiveness. i.e. Mario Draghi's plan to regain competitiveness make sense for Europe but an anti-tariff stance don't. China hold the key to resolve tariff not the EU.
It also makes more sense to have an European coalition of the willing to become NATO Europe's nucleus and the foundation of European security. The war happens in Europe, and there are also gas pipe sabotage, cable severing, North Korea, etc. A messy mix of NATO and EU don't seems able to actually protect European from further aggression.
I have no real criticisms of what has been said except for one. There is an acceptance in the premise that Trump is a rational actor. My premise would be that he is actually mentally/psychologically ill and driven only by impulse and no particular goal or strategic vision. If he verbalizes something he believes it. Self aggrandizement in the moment is the unconscious goal. Also power not moral vision is all he is capable of understanding. Analysis of actions is not really very helpful.