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Michael Dee's avatar

As usual an extremely rational, thought out and detailed analysis that in any world makes sense.

Trump will never bit because he has proven himself;

1) to be far to impulsive and impatient to actually commit to a process which he is not at the center of,

2) completely unable to negotiate in private and avoid negotiations by tweet or public sound bite,

3) unwilling to seek win/win outcomes as he must always be perceived as the winner,

4) incompetent to understand in any detail the other sides issues and concerns, and thus

5) he simply speaks loudly and often with a big stick that says TACO on it.

The ghostwriter of The Art of the Deal Jas made it clear Trump is nothing like the fictional character in the book or on his reality TV show.

It says a lot that on The Apprentice they had to build a new boardroom because the one in Trump Tower was so shabby.

China will just have to wait until Trump is gone, one way or another, and the pendulum swings back to the real world. This is not hard for a nation that touts its 5,000 year history.

In the meantime China should:

1) stop the Taiwan Sabre rattling

2) stop supporting Russia on an unlimited basis

3) stay out of Ukraine

4) stay out of Iran except for perhaps testing out their missile defense systems in Iran. They claim they can detect the F-35 and B-2 bomber. If so let’s see it.

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Stephen Roach's avatar

Points well taken on Trump. I would pose this framework of engagement as applicable more to the post-Trump era. Getting there is the trick!

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